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Monday, July 11, 2011

Gaza Strip - victim of an illegal siege...

Gaza Strip has become one of the most discussed topics among the progressive crowd.  There have been many aspects of Palestinian people situation, which stirred the public opinion in the recent years. 

To name a few:
Israeli occupation of Gaza Strip and West Bank and its legality;
Oslo 1993 and the shift of security responsibilities to the Palestinians;
Yasser Arafat, and the PLO;
Road-map to the Two-State-Solution;           
Hamas and Fatah in the context of security threat;
Intifadas and the right of Palestinian people to oppose the occupation;
Israeli “deterrence policy” and issue of “disproportional force”;
Naval Blockade of Gaza and a land siege of Gaza…

The Gaza Blockade and its legality has been a subject argued by scholars, legal experts, and many other non-professionals.  It has been discussed as long as it lasts, already more than 4 years. 
While the discussions continue, the inhabitants of the Gaza Strip are deprived of the fundamental, human rights.  They do not have the running water for many hours daily, along with the rolling blackouts.  They do not have enough supplies.  They do not have the right to build or repair their dwellings when the houses are destroyed by gunships during the frequent raids of IDF (with a “crown achievement” at the turn of 2007 and 2008 – Operation Cast Lead – during which 1460 Palestinian civilians were killed, and the whole infrastructure of the country ruined). 
The Gaza Blockade was originally imposed by Israel on Gaza to prevent the weapon smuggling into Gaza. 
At least it was it’s official explanation fed to the World’s media.  The true meaning of the Blockade however, and its effect on the people who are subjected to it, was conveniently belittled and/or omitted from the main stream of World’s news feeds. 

And then, in May 2010, the international “Gaza Freedom Flotilla” consisting of 6 ships departing from the Turkish ports attempted to break the Blockade.  The ships carried international supplies, tones of humanitarian aid, and hundreds of the Pro-Palestinian activists who were determined to educate the public opinion about the issue, break the Blockade, or…

…on May 31, many died trying.  After unsuccessful trials to intimidate the Flotilla crews, and stop the advancement, under the cover of night, the IDF boarded the biggest of the six ships MV Mavi Marmara, descending the commandos from the helicopters.  In the result of this raid, 9 of the activists have lost their lives.  All ships were hauled to the Israeli ports and the activists were interned for weeks.

Gene was out of the bottle.  The public opinion in the whole world (including Israel) responded firmly condemning the typical for all recent IDF actions – disproportional use of force. 

A year later, in June 2011, the new “Freedom Flotilla 2 – Stay Human” was formed, with the same humanitarian goal in mind, attempting to deliver the much needed supplies and medicines.  Initially the new Flotilla consisted of 10 ships with a 1000 activists on board, but due to the constant intimidation, and sabotage, the number of participant’s shrunk to fewer than 300, with a few dozen journalists.  All acts of sabotage were alleged to the IDF operatives, since in many cases, trained divers damaged the ships propellers, and in other cases the hauls got compromised.
For a long time before the organizing the flotilla, Israel unleashed the PR campaign warning the World about the “collective responsibility” if any of the activists taking part in the attempt gets hurt.  They announced also intention of stopping the Flotilla by the non-military means.
Several complains about the technical state of the ships were filed, alleging the non-sea-worthiness of the ships participating in the action.  Rigorous inspection proved it to be just an attempt to prevent them from the departure.
The Flotilla was supposed to set sail from the Greek ports.  Unfortunately the Greek authorities succumbed to the Israeli warnings and took action against the docked ships, forbidding them to exit.  The “Audacity of Hope” – the American flagship carrying a few dozen of American activists have been stopped by the Greek Coast Guard shortly before reaching the International waters, and it’s captain has been arrested (*1).  A French ship whose voyage originated in Corsica was stopped and interned while refueling in Crete.
To add the insult to the injury, several Western governments, also joined Israelis in piling the obstacles in front of the participants.  While the Great Britain, Netherlands, France, Canada, limited themselves to officially discouraging the activists from taking part in the Flotilla, the U.S. State Department warned Americans taking part in the flotilla that they may violate U.S. civil and criminal statue against delivering material support to terrorist organizations, and may face prosecution (*2).  In a travel warning, the State Department further advised U.S. citizens that they could face arrest, prosecution, and deportation by Israel if they join the flotilla (*3).

Is the Freedom Flotilla 2 going to get to Gaza eventually?  I doubt it.  But, did it achieve any of it’s goals?  The answer to this question is certainly positive.  It raised the World’s awareness of this severe and prolonged problem, again.
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As I mentioned at the beginning, the legality of the Blockade itself has been debated vigorously, since it’s inception.  So, is it legal or not legal in the light of the international law?  Like in the criminal cases tried in the court of law, the judges (the public) have been influenced by the media and the spokespersons of the involved parties, for years. 

We know the reason, why originally the Gaza Blockade has been imposed – to prevent arms trafficking to the Hamas, who is recognized as a terrorist organization by the Israel (and America, but recognized as a legitimate Palestinian authority, democratically elected, by many other countries).

We all heard about a few Israeli soldiers who were kidnapped, tortured, and killed by the Hamas (or sometimes other extreme militant group), one of them is still in captivity today.  At the same time there are tens of thousand guerrilla fighters and civilians imprisoned for many years already in the Israeli prisons – without the hope for the timely release.
We all heard about a number of crude rockets fired from Gaza inside the territory of Israel, and the resulting from that deaths… a very small number of deaths, since the rockets are crude, imprecise, and do not go too far, and the Israelis can hide to the already built concrete bunkers when the attack starts (whereas when the Palestinian territory is attacked in retaliation, no one can hide anywhere – no one can build a bunker, since there is a ban on the concrete and other building materials, imposed by Israel). 
The Goldstone report, which findings shook the World’s opinion, brought up the accusation of the human rights violations and the war crimes allegations – all committed by the Israeli IDF troops during the Cast Lead campaign.  Israeli troops used the helicopter gunships and high precision bombs, and the civilian casualties just kept piling up – some say: purposely targeted.  But even the Goldstone report found that Hamas racket barrages (resulting in killing civilians), by their rudimentary design, and inability of the precision targeting, targeted civilians (since they could not discriminate between targets), and qualified as war crimes.

We all see, that both sides are guilty in this conflict.  Who is more guilty: to me the answer is simple – the side which uses disproportional force as a deterrence tool.  The Israeli Government officials have stated very often, that “they want to use enough force, so the future generations of the Palestinians will think twice before attacking any single Israeli target”.   This is the strategy, which has been efficiently appropriated from… the Nazis.  This is the strategy, which was used during the Second World War by the army of Adolf Hitler in Poland, Russia, and then in the Western countries as well.  For every attack on the Nazi property or a soldier, a group (might have been 50-100) of civilians was rounded up and stood up against a wall, and shot dead.  
This is the same deterrence strategy.  Did it work for Germans during the WWII?...  Is it so appealing, that any sane politician can have a desire to implement it?

For people who are familiar with the WWII, there are some other analogies, quite obvious, between what is happening to Gaza with it’s inhabitants, and the Jewish Ghetto in Warsaw (*4), where about 400,000 Jews were placed, without the right to travel, nor getting out of Ghetto.  Nazis also blocked any supplies to the Ghetto; there was a scarcity of food, no running water, and rolling blackouts.  There were countless raids of the soldiers, and systematic destruction of the infrastructure and the inhabitants…  It truly resembles the Blockade we observe now in case of Gaza.  Time has changed.  Roles have changed.  Now the Oppressed are the Oppressors.
_________________________

But what about the original question – is the Gaza Blockade, imposed in 2007 by Israel on the Gaza legal, or not?

Unfortunately, even before considering the Blockade itself the question about the legitimacy of the occupation of the Gaza and the West Bank arises.  We struggled with this issue already (I talked about it on May 22, 2011, in the article: “Does Palestine have a future? USA – Israel relationship – addendum”).
I will just quote again a fragment from the paper “Israel’s Borders Under International Law” (01.2007) by Anthony D’Amato, who is the Leighton Professor of Law at Northeastern University School of Law:

Point 9:    “(…) undeniable fact that the Kellogg-Briand Peace Pact of 1928, as definitively interpreted by the International Tribunal at Nuremberg in 1948 has abolished forever the idea of acquisition of territory by military conquest.  No matter who was the aggressor, international borders cannot change by the process of war.  Resort to war is itself illegal, and while self-defense is of course legal, a successful campaign of self-defense cannot extend so far as to constitute a new war of aggression all its own.  And if it does, the land taken may at best be temporarily occupied, but cannot be annexed. (…)  The legal boundaries of Israel and Palestine remain today exactly as they were delimited in Resolution 181.”(*5)

For argument’s sake, let’s disregard the conclusion of this paper, and numerous other studies. 
Putting the illegality of the Gaza occupation aside, let’s look at the other aspects related to the Blockade itself.

Gaza Strip is a tiny piece of land, 28 miles long, with the area of roughly of 139 sq miles and inhabited by circa 1.66 Million people.  It borders with Israel on 2 sides (North and East), with Egypt on 1 side (South),
and on the fourth side (West) is the shore of Mediterranean See.  In 2007, after the Hamas (democratically elected) became the Gaza’s Government, Israel established a complete naval blockade, as well closed all the borders with Israel (to stop and prevent the arms traffic to Gaza, as official statement read).  Egypt, participating in this siege closed its border with Gaza (Egyptian Vice President Omar Suleiman also cooperated with Israel on destroying numerous tunnels breaching the Egypt-Gaza border).

Israel claims that it imposed the blockade on Gaza in accordance with the international law - the law of blockade, which was derived from customary international law and codified in the 1909 Declaration of London.  It was updated in 1994 in a legally recognized document called the “San Remo Manual on International Law Applicable to Armed Conflicts at Sea”.

Shortly after the “boarding of MV Mavi Marmara by IDF commando” incident, the Reuters published one of the probably most cited articles on the issue (although very conveniently forgetful of facts): “Q&A: Is Israel’s naval blockade of Gaza legal?”, by Jonathan Saul (*6).  The article based its conclusions on loose interpretation of the “San Remo Manual on International Law Applicable to Armed Conflicts at Sea”.

General public never heard, nor read the document referred to, in this article.  Using it as a legal ground for the explanation, omitting the certain aspects of this, concise and not complicated paper, is just manipulative and misleading (*7).

And again, before we look at the particular points of this “Manual” and their application, we should ask if this Manual applies to the situation of the Gaza Blockade.  The San Remo Manual governs the behavior of the
hostile parties in the situation in which the LAWS OF WAR are in force.  It requires the actual proclamation of the war between states. 
According to mentioned already Anthony D'Amato, a professor of international law at Northwestern University School of Law, this is not a case.  Israel is in conflict with Hamas, and Hamas is not even a state.  D’Amato (quoted after The Washington Post - *8) stated that instead, the law of the Geneva Conventions would apply (*9).  

Putting this technicality aside (although it, by itself resets the view on the Blockade) we may examine the application of the particular points of the San Remo Manual.
A violation of any of the sections of this Manual would be a Violation of the International Law by the party imposing such a blockade (Israel) – deeming the Blockade itself illegal.  One cannot ‘chose and pick’ some regulation, while disregarding other, less convenient rules (*7).

PART I : GENERAL PROVISIONS
SECTION I : SCOPE OF APPLICATION OF THE LAW
1. The parties to an armed conflict at sea are bound by the principles and rules of international humanitarian law from the moment armed force is used.
2. In cases not covered by this document or by international agreements, civilians and combatants remain under the protection and authority of the principles of international law derived from established custom, from the principles of humanity and from the dictates of the public conscience.

***** The application of this section already shows shortcomings.  The article stipulates the necessity to adhere to the Humanitarian laws – like the Fourth Geneva Convention, which specifies that the belligerents cannot restrict food supplies, medicines and other aid; cannot obstruct medical evacuations; cannot prevent civilians from leaving the war zone; and cannot prevent civilians from pursuing their livelihoods.  The Israeli blockade violates all of these precepts.  In addition, neutral organizations including the International Committee of the Red Cross and Amnesty International have declared the blockade to be a form of “collective punishment” and a clear and flagrant violation of Israel’s obligations under the Geneva Convention.

PART IV : METHODS AND MEANS OF WARFARE AT SEA
SECTION II : METHODS OF WARFARE
Blockade
102. The declaration or establishment of a blockade is prohibited if:
(a) it has the sole purpose of starving the civilian population or denying it other objects essential for its survival; or
(b) the damage to the civilian population is, or may be expected to be, excessive in relation to the concrete and direct military advantage anticipated from the blockade.
103. If the civilian population of the blockaded territory is inadequately provided with food and other objects essential for its survival, the blockading party must provide for free passage of such foodstuffs and other essential supplies, subject to:
(a) the right to prescribe the technical arrangements, including search, under which such passage is permitted; and
(b) the condition that the distribution of such supplies shall be made under the local supervision of a Protecting Power or a humanitarian organization which offers guarantees of impartiality, such as the International Committee of the Red Cross.
104. The blockading belligerent shall allow the passage of medical supplies for the civilian population or for the wounded and sick members of armed forces, subject to the right to prescribe technical arrangements, including search, under which such passage is permitted.

*****             102a – The Gaza population HAS BEEN DENIED objects essential for its survival.
Dov Wiesglass, the Israeli official and aid to Former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert stated the intention of the blockade was "to put the Palestinians on a diet, but not to make them die of hunger." (*10) – violation of the Fourth Geneva Convention – Part III, Article 55 (*11).
102b – the damage to the population IS EXCESSIVE in relation to the concrete and military advantage.
103 – the blocking party HASN’T PROVIDED FREE PASSAGE of the foodstuffs and other essential supplies – the ships are not allowed in and on land transports are denied entry.
104 – Israel CONTINUOUSLY BLOCKS the medical supplies - violation of the Fourth Geneva Convention – Part III, Article 56 (*12).
_____________________________

Even if it may be argued that the implementation of the Blockade on Gaza wasn’t in violation of the International Law, and even if it may be argued that attack on MV Mavi Marmara on international waters wasn’t in violation of the International Law (according to the San Remo manual – the ships clearly manifested the desire to breach the blockade) – the abuses of the Humanitarian Law in all aspects of the Blockade are in clear violation of that International Law. 

Gene is out of the bottle. 
The Public awareness grows with every highly publicized, new detail of the conflict.
The World’s Public Opinion (including Israeli) recognizes that the most basic rights of the Palestinians have been affected, revoked, by the occupier, and the secure and peaceful lives of the Palestinians, subjected to the Blockade and other atrocities, have been disturbed.  The Public pressure on the governments grows day by day. 

Although discouraged by the stiff statements of the US and British Government officials, the Palestinians will seek the political recognition for the State of Palestine during the September Session of the UN.  The World’s Public opinion is already on their side.  How is it going to influence the UN decision? 
The UN Secretary General, serving his second term at this point, sided with Israel on the issue of the Freedom Flotilla.  Is he going to be more open on the issue of the recognition of the State of Palestine – before the “Two State Solution” is successfully implemented (if ever)?
Time will tell. 
However, when dealing with ‘unwilling’ party (like the Israeli government of PM Netanyahu), even the simple and logical solutions become impossible. 
It’s time for the Public Opinion to be heard stronger and louder. 
It’s the only hope of THE SUPPRESSED.




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*1 - http://edition.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/meast/07/02/israel.gaza.flotilla/index.html?hpt=hp_t2
*2 - http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-28/u-s-lawmakers-say-americans-in-gaza-flotilla-may-be-prosecuted.html
*3 - http://www.voanews.com/english/news/middle-east/US-Warns-Americans-Against-Joining-Gaza-Aid-Flotilla-124393009.html
*4 - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Warsaw_Ghetto
*5 - http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=%20956143
*6 - http://www.reuters.com/article/2010/06/02/us-israel-flotilla-gaza-idUSTRE65133D20100602
*7 - http://www.icrc.org/ihl.nsf/FULL/560?OpenDocument
*8 - http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/06/01/AR2010060102934.html?sid=ST2010053101699
*9 - http://www.icrc.org/ihl.nsf/WebList?ReadForm&id=380&t=art
*10 - http://sabbah.biz/mt/archives/2010/06/08/gaza-blockade-legal-hardly/
*11 - http://www.icrc.org/ihl.nsf/WebART/380-600062?OpenDocument
*12 - http://www.icrc.org/ihl.nsf/WebART/380-600063?OpenDocument

Sunday, June 12, 2011

Weiner affair – what does it say about us…

After a short Sunday stroll in the Central Park, where I had an excellent New York Frankfurter at one of the numerous vendors stand, I came home for dinner.  A delectable “wiener schnitzel” appeared on my plate…  It’s name (and a recollection of the previous snack) obviously triggered some thoughts about the chain of events which have plagued the National political scene for quite a while.

A few weeks ago, when a friend asked me if I had written about the Dominique Strauss-Kahn scandal in my blog, I dismissed such a notion, since “I didn’t even want to ‘legitimize’ this kind of events by writing about it”.
Oh, well… when one thinks about the avalanche of “sexual scandals” in the recent, American history, one can’t help but notice it as a symptom of a bigger issue.  It’s 2011, but some of the changes in the fabric of the American society are not progressive, quite a contrary…

Indiscretions, extra marital affairs, prostitution, and any imaginable ‘kinkiness’, however unacceptable they might have been to others, have been a part of the everyday day life for many.  Sometimes such acts, or rather knowledge about them, stirred masses in the general contempt, other times they were just absorbed and forgotten.

However, one cannot forget the infamous Pope Alexander VI, whose illegitimate daughter Lucrezia Borgia became an epitome for the corruption of Renaissance Papacy. 
______

Groups of Pilgrims and Puritans, escaping the religious persecution in the XVII century England established the settlements on the American Continent.  The modern day America (the USA) it’s the result of the evolution of the society, when subjected to the numerous, external factors (however, in 2011, “evolution” itself is often denied and considered a sacrilege by many, who after more than 200 years haven’t shed their ‘puritan mentality’). 
Those suppressed Protestants, with addition of later huge immigration of the Catholics from Europe, and (until today) from Latin America, forged our society to be strict and unforgiving on the sex related issues, especially pre-marital, and extra-marital sexual experiences.

When the lack of the media coverage and a ‘puritan shame’ of talking about these issues, put these events under the ‘unpronounceable’ social blanket, the society lived it’s life happily, skillfully avoiding the troubling subjects.  The politicians were the “champions of virtues”, and readily gave the ‘example’ of how to live “honest” life to the millions of the “little people”.  What was going on behind the closed doors of their residencies, and in the ‘red districts’ of their happy cities, never, or almost never saw daylight.

After the country shook itself from the horrors of the WWII, and the war hero who served as a president of the USA vacated the post, the new breed of politicians came to the front line.  Young and energetic, living the proverbial “American Dream” and enjoying the new Virtue – EXCESS, thriving on the high testosterone level, these new politicians often involved themselves in more or less public sex-capades.  The new media, being more aggressive and socially conscious, trained on the fights for the ‘human rights’, anti-war campaigns, and minority rights, didn’t leave “these stones unturned”.
A new President – JFK, was involved in many such stories, with one which was probably the most broadly publicized scandal of them all – an affair with the actress Marilyn Monroe.  And yet, the society didn’t react.  The country was about to change.

And then, suddenly, without any warning, the “sixties”, and “seventies” came with their sexual revolution, and gay awakening.  The phenomenon didn’t last long in it’s extreme form, but the new sexual standards, and approved behaviors made the deep and lasting change in the way sex have been treated afterwards in America.
Sex has been a powerful weapon in politics and business for a long time.  So, even in the sexually loose “seventies” movie director Roman Polanski was arrested and charged with a number of sexual offenses, resulting in his escape from the USA, and never returning here, where the outstanding warrant for his arrest is still in force.  America readily condemned him, even though the conspiracy theories were widely considered.
_______

The mid-eighties with it’s beginning of the HIV / AIDS epidemics calmed down the ‘seventies’ spirit and the puritan America returned to it’s “don’t ask – don’t tell” policy.  Growing, HIV infected part of the population, according to the general views, was nothing more than “gays, ‘IV’ drug users, and all other degenerates”.  Conveniently pushed in oblivion the HIV epidemic related research didn’t get public recognition, nor sufficient funding.  When Rock Hudson as a first celebrity AIDS victim died, the society breathed with a relief – he was Gay, thus in the ‘normal’ society there was nothing to worry about.
When Magic Johnson – one of the most successful basketball players, came out with a confession of his HIV infection as a hetero-sexual man, the confusion of the society was limitless… 

AIDS, considered by the most of the conservative, evangelical Christians, the God’s punishment for the amoral behavior, just added to the hypocritical treatment of sex as a part of human life.

In 1995, after years of a relative calm on this front, the sexual behavior of the US politician became a headline issue in all the media.  Both the Republicans and the Democrats conducted a crusade against the President Clinton, for his relationship with the White House intern Monica Lewinsky, with whom he had a “documented” relationship.  The President was forced to have a series of public, televised speeches denying the affair.  The congressional hearing was arranged in which he committed perjury claiming that he “didn’t have any sexual relationship with this woman…”, when the stains on the blue dress (later sold on eBay for thousands of Dollars) said otherwise. 
It was interesting to watch how righteous America became, even in New York City, even among the people who could have been brought on similar charges… Eventually the budget surplus and apparent growth of the country prevented the President from being impeached, but the seed was planted in America’s mind.

Unlike in other Western Democracies, like France, Italy, Germany etc, the private life of an American politician became a property of the Nation, and a subject to the public scrutiny, and occasional investigations.

However the result of such investigations differed based on the period “the crime” was perpetrated and the current political leaning of the Congress Majority.

Newt Gingrich has a “wonderful” history of indiscretions – he proposed to his 2nd wife when the first was recovering from treatments for uterine cancer (not yet divorced).  He proposed to the 3rd wife when his second wife had just been diagnosed with multiple sclerosis.  So, a 3rd time married scruple-less politician is running to be a president of the USA on a “family values” ticket (he quits, comes back to the race, hard to keep track…).
John Edwards (who was a runner in the Presidential elections in 2008) came out about his affair and fathering a child during his long marriage with the wife Elizabeth, who was for a few last years fighting terminal cancer (she finally succumbed to it’s merciless force) - the America was appalled.
For some reason Newt Gingrich (R), having such a track record, is still eligible to have a political career, and dreams to become the most powerful politician in the World – the President of the USA.  At the same time John Edwards (D) became the target of investigation to prove that he might have misappropriated the campaign funds to pay the affair and it’s cover up. 
In this case the Democratic politician is taken out of the political equation for an affair, which in the previous case was conveniently dismissed and not accounted for.   

In March 2008, the New York Governor Eliot Spitzer (D) was forced to resign from his post (preventing the impeachment proceedings) for his involvement in a ‘prostitution scandal’.  Besides that particular flaw, he was considered a good governor, and a previous Attorney General of an impeccable record.  He wasn’t legally charged, since the public funds were never a subject of the scandal. 

In the recent years we had a number of sex scandals in the Congress in Washington DC, raging from the Congressmen on both sides of the Isle engaging in the sexual relationship with the staffers, to the homosexual relationship of some Congressman with the male Pages.  We can mention them ‘en mass’ but writing about them in detail would be a complete waste of time and energy. 
No matter how stupid, and inappropriate it is, if it happens between consenting adults, it shouldn’t be a subject to the public interest of any sort (unless a crime is committed).
________

In the recent weeks we have all learned about a teenage son of Arnold Schwarzenegger.  Schwarzenegger until recently was a Governor of California (an actor, and bodybuilder before that).  The scandal wouldn’t be a newsworthy fact, if not for two details:
1. The mother of the boy has been employed by Arnold Schwarzenegger household for many years.
2. He has been (oh, well - not for long) married to Maria Shriver (from Kennedys’ clan).
Of course in case of the actors who are not politicians any more, the laxity of the public opinion is much greater, than in case of politicians. 
Although, not always.  In 1989, a very promising actor, Rob Lowe was ostracized for his amateur sex tape featuring a sex act of himself with two young women.  At that point the Studios couldn’t forgive him for a ‘bad publicity’ he received afterwards.  It cost  Rob Lowe many years of exclusion from the main stream of Hollywood.

In May 2011, the International Monetary Fund head, Dominique Strauss-Kahn was arrested at the JFK airport to which he rushed (forgetting his cell-phone in the hotel).  He was charged with several counts of the sexual assault.  The victim of the alleged crime was a maid from the hotel he stayed in while in New York.
He was a very powerful man.  He was a very rich man.  He was a candidate to the Presidency of France in the coming elections.  He was a man who in 2008 was involved in a hushed sex scandal.  
He had a sexual relationship with the aforementioned hotel maid.  For this alone, he has proven to belong to this exclusive group of Powerful Idiots, who exercise their powers to get sexual favors (paid one way or another) from the strangers (professional prostitutes or not).  This is a proven fact.
    Everything else is to be proven in court. 
       If he is a rapist – please – maximum penalty for the crime and the power abuse.
I am writing about it only because this man (beside being an amoral IDIOT) has been already condemned by the American society - because he did it with a maid, while on a business trip, while being married.  Before being proven to be guilty of a crime, he already lost the position of the Head of IMF, lost a chance to run in the elections etc.

I am not sympathetic to him in any way, but condemning him publicly for being an Idiot, before the court verdict, is wrong.
______

Mentioned at the beginning of the article “wiener schnitzel” was tasty, but it’s a matter of the past.

We are still stack with the newest sex scandal of the Democratic Congressman Anthony Weiner.
It would be a completely negligible, not news worthy event if it wasn’t for an absolutely idiotic attempt to hush things up by the Congressman himself. 
As far as it was reported by the major networks, the Congressman Weiner (NY, D) sent an inappropriate, “revealing” image of his private areas to one of his admirers… via Twitter. 
When he realized what he did, he pulled the Tweet out, and instigated a false campaign, claiming the outrage from “his Twitter account being hacked in, and a picture of the sort sent out in his name…”. How detached from reality one has to be, to attempt a cover-up like that? 

Until this event I admired the Congressman Weiner for his political stand, and for the wisdom. 
Well, the last term of the previous sentence, at this point is a very questionable quality. 

The Twitter hacking is a crime, so the proper investigation has been conducted.  The media already have learned about the history of Internet relationships he was involved in.  By itself, this testosterone instigated activity of a vain, self centered individual, however disgusting it might seem, shouldn’t be neither judged publicly, nor even brought to the public knowledge. 
As it is in many other countries, until the behavior is illegal, or causes harm to others, or to the cause, it should stay in the “non public” realm.  Everybody is responsible to one’s peers for one’s behavior, and is judged by the peers on constant basis.  There is no point to make a public Inquisition trial of a non-criminal mater, just to cause the political punishment, end of the career etc.
Congressman Weiner has been asked by the Democratic Party to resign from his post - even though 65% of his constituency opposes doing so.

What is the future of the Congressman Anthony Weiner (whose name has been always a target of tasteless jokes, and probably always will be)?  What is the future of American sense of Morality and the public abuse of it?  What is the future of American Political System (no matter what side it’s leaning to) if the politicians are subjected to so deep scrutiny of their private (I stress the word: private) lives?

Let’s make it clear: I do not defend a morally wrong behavior of any individual (no matter if a private citizen, or a politician).  Many of the aforementioned affairs caused the families of the involved to suffer.  This is not acceptable.  However, moral judgment is a matter of one’s conscience, not the law, and it should remain private.  It shouldn’t be used as a tool of any political leverage.

America, contrary to it’s Constitution (which clearly states the separation of the State and the Church) is a very religious country.  So, “He That Is Without Sin Among You, Let Him First Cast a Stone ...”

Sunday, May 22, 2011

Does Palestine have a future? USA - Israel relationship – addendum.


I believe that at this point certain details pertaining to this subject need some additional clarification:

1.    Let’s make it clear, the right of Israel to exist, and the Israelis to live in peace and prosper is undeniable.  No one can question that right.  Like no one can deny or question the same right in case of Palestine and the Palestinians.

2.    When President Obama called for the Two-State solution, that permanent borders should be based on the pre-1967 borders, he didn’t ask for anything extraordinary.  These borders were warranted by the Security Council Resolutions 242 and 338.  UNSR 242, passed in November 1967, calls for the “withdrawal of Israeli armed forces from territories occupied in the recent conflict.” (referred to the Six-Day war of 1967).

3.    The International law may be confusing for many, as any other kind of law is for non-lawyers.  It’s interpretation given sparingly by the politician like Michelle Bachman, or other ‘eagles’ of the Republican Party are in most cases not only “slightly distorted and bent” to fit their agenda, but flatly WRONG.

Researching the subject, recently I came by, an essay by Anthony D’Amato (*1). ANTHONY D'AMATO is the Leighton Professor of Law at Northwestern University School of Law, where he teaches courses in international law, international human rights, analytic jurisprudence, and justice.
The title of the paper is: ISRAEL’S BORDERS UNDER INTERNATIONAL LAW  (January 2007).

Let me bring a few excerpts from this paper:

“Abstract:   
Israel cannot obtain legal title to any territory by conquest. Thus Israel's borders were legally established by the United Nations Partition Resolution of 1947, which ended Great Britain's power as a trustee on condition that an Arab State and a Jewish State would be established with borders as demarcated in the text of the resolution. Those borders remain the legal boundary of the State of Israel.”

point 8:    “(…) As far as the Israeli settlements are concerned, they are clearly illegal; an occupying power has no right to engage in de facto annexation of portions of the occupied territory by way of population transfers.”

point 9:    “Overshadowing the arguments in Paragraph 8 above is the undeniable fact that the Kellogg-Briand Peace Pact of 1928, as definitively interpreted by the International Tribunal at Nuremberg in 1948, has abolished forever the idea of acquisition of territory by military conquest. No matter who was the aggressor, international borders cannot change by the process of war. Resort to war is itself illegal, and while self-defense is of course legal, a successful campaign of self-defense cannot extend so far as to constitute a new war of aggression all its own. And if it does, the land taken may at best be temporarily occupied, but cannot be annexed.(…) The legal boundaries of Israel and Palestine remain today exactly as they were delimited in Resolution 181.”

4.    On July 9, 2004, the International Court of Justice (in Hague) ruled that the planned 425-mile barrier that slices into occupied Palestinian territory on the West Bank and annexes East Jerusalem is illegal under international law and should be torn down.
Norman Finkelstein in January 2008 in his lecture in Edinburgh (*2), UK, summarized the decision of the ICJ from July 2004:
“(…) On the question of Israeli borders the ICJ was unequivocal. Since, according to international law, land may not be acquired by force, and since Israel acquired land in Gaza and the West Bank this way, it is, ipso facto, illegal.  There is, therefore, in effect, no dispute regarding the disputed territories: international law is clear and straight forward – the land does not belong to the Israelis.  Therefore, following on from this judgment, Israeli settlers are settled on land that was obtained illegally, and are thus in flagrant violation of international law.  (…)”

5.    It leaves just on issue to be clarified – the role of the United States in the process leading to the creation of a viable, self-determined, contiguous, Palestinian State.
America and Israel are a long time allies, being also long time friends (if this word means anything in the international relationships).  Their interests in the stabilization in the Region are also very similar.  With one difference:  it is Israel, which receives the annual allowance, going on in Billions of Dollars from the USA… not other way around.
One would think, that a “friend” like the US could influence a “friend” like Israel, to comply with the international law, and finally allow this, tiresome for the whole World, feud to end peacefully, and permanently, with the benefit of all parties involved... 
Otherwise, our – American, friendly advice, and pressure is just an empty campaign slogan. 
Romans used to say: DURA LEX, SED LEX (harsh law, but it’s law).  
Shouldn’t we expect one of the “World’s leading Democracies” (like Israelis like calling their country) to follow it and obey it?


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*1 - http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=%20956143
*2 - http://thegulfblog.com/2008/01/26/finkelstein-on-the-israeli-palestinian-situation-its-not-complicated/

Saturday, May 21, 2011

Does Palestine have a future? USA - Israel relationship.

When considering the most important issues, which influence the World’s politics, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict rises to the top of the list.  During the last sixty years, this conflict has been used by many as an important bargain chip, ground for “extortion”, or sometimes a sheer pretext for the individual, or state instigated acts of violence, in all sorts of forms and dimensions.
As mentioned in my previous post on the subject (April 29, 2011 – “Egypt, Israel and Palestine – volatile mixture…”), this conflict is probably the best known conflict in the World, the same time being one of the most difficult to define and systematize, let alone solve.

Launched repeatedly, heavy handed and un-proportional Israeli responses to the Palestinian militants assaults, along with the consistent policy of spreading new settlements to the occupied Palestinian territories, have been greatly ignored by the World.  This denial hasn’t changed even after the independent body of experts came back from the fact-finding mission, and created a report revealing the crimes against humanity committed by the occupying forces (Goldstone Report – on late 2008, early 2009 “Cast Lead” Israeli Military Campaign – in Gaza).
It’s worth noting that the report itself has been a target of attacks and dismissal both by the Israeli, and American legislative bodies.
Solving of the Palestinian-Israeli “problem” has been on the agenda of many American administrations.  Most of the time the efforts have been limited to the “lip service”, yet a few American leaders pushed the normalization process closer to the lasting peace solution, treading carefully between the mutually exclusive demands of the interested parties.

Our previous Administration brought the “lip service” to the new, unprecedented level of “excellence”. 

Since Barack Obama took the office of the President of the USA, the new hope has been brought by his numerous speeches on the subject.  The most famous was his Cairo University speech in 2009 in which he promised the new, completely revised US policy toward the Middle East and the “notorious” Palestinian-Israeli relationship.

Mistrust toward America in the Arab World is nothing new.  Unfortunately it hasn’t changed with the Arab Spring.  While the Arab “Street” counted on a decisive from the White House, during the Tunisian, and Egyptian Revolutions, the support hasn’t happened in a timely manner.  In such dramatic, and dynamic times “timing” is everything.  However, the American Administration waited with the support of the movement until the Dictator (Mubarak) was already on his way out.  It didn’t go well with the highly emotional, and hungry for recognition, crowd.
During the revolution, there were no Anti-American (and no Anti-Israeli) demonstrations.  No flag burning, no inflammatory rhetoric.  Had the support from the Obama Administration been strong and timely, we would have seen by now the American flags waving proudly on the streets of Cairo…  And yet, we do not see them now.  One of the decisive factors leading to this ‘cold-shoulder’ is, and has been for a long time, the Palestinian-Israeli issue.
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The split in the Palestinian factions, which lasted since 2005, has been ended recently, when both parties agreed to end hostilities, and join forces to organize the parliamentary elections within a year.  The SPLIT, while lasted, was a very convenient factor, for all whose interest lay in de-legitimizing the Palestinian authorities. 
As per old Roman war rule: “divide and conquer” – two, little Palestinian territories, divided by a body of Israel proper, with the governments actively fighting with each other, were much easier to handle.
The historic moment of Hamas-Fatah agreement shook the delicate equilibrium of the region. 
It was met with the aggressive negation and threats of the Netanyahu Government who still considered Hamas a terrorist organization, and wouldn’t negotiate with it.
It was met with cautious, and hopeful position of the American Administration.
It was met with an ecstatic approval of the “Arab Street”, and all the pro-Palestinian activists around the World.
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On May 19, 2011, President of the USA, Barack Obama, in his televised speech, spoke to the Americans (and anybody who listened) on his Middle East policy.  It would be a great exaggeration to say that the World waited anxiously for what President Obama had to say.  No, after 2 years in office, and numerous failures to deliver on promises given during his pre-election campaign, or on other occasions (including the Cairo speech), the World, especially the Arab World developed certain “immunity” to the round, and promising statements of such speeches.
However, the significance of this particular speech is not to be diminished – it was televised a day before a scheduled meeting between Obama and the Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu.

It has been obvious to all the political observers, that the American Principles of Democracy, along with championship for the Civil Freedoms, and Human Rights, are not necessarily in accord with the short-term, and/or long-term interests of the United States and it’s allies, especially considering the stabilization in the region, counter-terrorism, as well as oil resources.  President Obama acknowledged that the resulting from it policy has to be a compromise of all these factors.

Obama quickly summarized the American position in consideration of the Arab Spring, emphasizing the American involvement in the Libya crisis, remembering the decisive support (although quite late, too late, according to the ‘street’) for the democratic movements in Tunisia and Egypt.  He expressed the strong disapproval for the Yemeni President, and called him to step down.  When addressing the Syrian uprising, his judgment fell much shorter than in the previous case, leaving up to the President Assad, either to lead the country through the democratic process, or step down. 
It leaves the Bahrain, where the government forces cracked down on protesters, with hundreds of dead, and others dying without help (since the ER services were prohibited to take the casualties for treatment).  Since the Bahrain is a home to our 5th Fleet, a simple advice to refrain from the violence and a call for the dialog sufficed (?).  He remarked though: “you can’t have a real dialog when part of a peaceful opposition is in jail”.

A week before the G-8 Summit, Obama promised the strong support for the economies of the “new countries” like Tunisia and Egypt, including a $1 Billion relief of the Egypt’s debt, and pressing for the investment opportunities.

The President’s speech, although very mildly, created an unusual political situation.  Contrary to the previous administration, he stated firmly that the ground for the Two-State solution must be based on returning to the PRE-1967 borders, with some necessary ‘swaps’ (a quite fuzzy term ‘swaps’ created a lot of mistrust and aggravation in the Arab World).  This statement, unnoticed by many, and later downplayed by the Press Secretary, by itself set Obama’s plan on the different platform, than the previous ones.
Beside this changed approach all remained the same – including shifting the responsibility to the Palestinians for creating grounds for negotiating with Israel (Hamas is still considered a terrorist organization by the US and Israel).

Immediately after the speech transmission came the reports of the reactions to it throughout the region, varying greatly depending on a party responding to it:
1. The Israeli Government dismissed it angrily arguing that the border from pre-1967 shouldn’t be a part of any ‘road plan’ since this condition was already abandoned (wrongly so) by the previous US Administration.
2. the official, Palestinian Government statement was cautiously optimistic, accepting the new political atmosphere as a good turn, even accepting the responsibility to convince the opponents of their good intentions.
3. The Palestinian “street”, however, didn’t react too favorably, summarizing it as “usual empty words”, which they have heard multiple times throughout the years.
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On May 20, 2011, President Obama met in Washington D.C. with the Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.  While a day before Obama suggested the return to the pre-1967 borders for the Two-State solution talks, Premier Netanyahu announced plans to build two, new settlements in the occupied West Bank.  As summarized by a British journalist Robert Fisk on Al Jazeera yesterday, even Netanyahu was surprised by lack of demands to freeze the settlements from the President.
As expected after the violent reaction to the Obama’s speech by Premier Netanyahu, the talks between the two partners didn’t go too well today.  While President Obama, after the talks, still expressed some hope for the progress of the negotiations, Premier Netanyahu flatly rejected all of the Obama’s suggestions, both concerning the 1967 borders and the Palestinian refugees repatriation.  He actually had audacity to reject all Obama’s offer with a face of an offended child.
Netanyahu stated:
1.    Israel couldn’t return to the borders from before 1967, because these borders would be un-defendable, and because of the “certain” changes which happened on the ground – demographic changes, which happened during these 44 years. -------- Am I missing something?  These demographic changes are the result of the ILLEGAL settlements on the ILLEGALLY occupied territories!  How can anybody use them as an argument?
2.    Israel can’t negotiate with the Hamas, since it is a terrorist organization, which doesn’t accept the Israel’s right to exist. -------- According to the Hamas-Fatah statements, Hamas promised to freeze all the hostilities toward Israel and lead to the general elections in which a legitimate government would be elected.  So, where is the real problem?  Unless the peace is not in the Israel’s intentions…
3.    President Abbas has a choice now to either have peace with Israel, or a peace with Hamas – both mutually exclusive. -------- Considering point 2, no comment.
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Let’s draw here a line in the sand.

A few hours after the president’s speech, yesterday, in the Gould Hall in New York, lucky 500 people, who could buy the tickets to this event, participated in the panel discussion under the title: “Blueprint for Accountability: Gaza, Goldstone and the Crisis of Impunity”.
The event was organized by a couple of non-profit organizations: Culture Project (cultureproject.org), and MondoWeiss (mondoweiss.net).  Both very vocal on the subject of the human rights and their abuses.
The participants of the panel have been chosen very carefully and all brought to the discussion the passion and the expertise:
a Canadian journalist, writer, film producer, and human right activist, Naomi Klein,
Noura Erakat, a professor of international human rights law in the Middle East at Georgetown University, Palestinian lawyer and an activist,
Colonel Desmond Travers, a retired Irish Army Colonel, member of judicial panel, which created the Goldstone Report,
Currently he serves on the Board of Directors at the Institute for International Criminal Investigations (IICI).
Lizzy Ratner, who is a journalist and a co-editor of a book “The Goldstone Report: The Legacy of the Landmark investigation of the Gaza Conflict”.
The discussion was moderated by an activist and a journalist herself, Laura Flaunders.

For most of the people the term Goldstone Report doesn’t create any associations.  Since it was officially dismissed by both Israeli and the US, it fell into oblivion very fast.  However, the report itself is just a fruit of a several months of a hard work of a dedicated group of experts sent to the Gaza Strip on a FACT-FINDING mission, after the UN had been alerted about the possibilities of the human right violations and in fact, crimes against humanity, committed by the Israeli Army against the Palestinians, and Hamas against the Israeli population.

As I mentioned in the beginning of this article, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is probably the best-known conflict in the World.  Yet, at the same time is probably the most misunderstood and misrepresented, the most lied about, the most covered up, and the most unclean conflict in the World.

The Palestinian population, especially in the Gaza Strip, living on a sliver of land, less than 4 miles wide, is a subject to the Israeli occupation, resulting in the restriction on any movement, travel, extremely high unemployment, shortage of medicines, shortage of basic necessities, including water… The inhabitants of the Strip do not have a right to leave the Strip under any circumstances.  It applies also to those who seek a medical treatment abroad.  Most of the Palestinian population of Gaza is too young to know, to remember what freedom actually means and feels.  On the top of that, Gaza, from time to time, is a subject to the military intervention like the operation “Cast Lead” in December 2008, when in 22 days, roughly 1450 Palestinians were killed (as estimated - 900 civilians), while the Israeli death tall reached 13.  Along the human casualties, the whole infrastructure of the country is being destroyed.  Methodically, and systematically.
This A-SYMMETRIC warfare, disproportional use of force by the occupier’s army, rises immediately suspicions of the crimes against humanity – thus the reason for the creation of the investigative, fact-finding team, and publishing of the Goldstone Report as a base for a future criminal proceedings (if they can ever get through the “red tape” of the international politics). 

Everybody, even the strongest, and the most “alpha-male” individuals are subject to the law.  All the countries and their agencies, even the most advanced and the strongest, are subject to the international law.  There is no exception.  The international Criminal Court in Hague is quite busy with the cases of the former military leaders who have been accused of perpetrating the crimes against humanity.   On it’s benches for the accused, we have seen Military men from the Balkans, we have seen Military men from the African countries, and we are waiting to see the Colonel Gaddafi on it soon.

So far, according the old Roman rule – WINNERS ARE NOT JUDGED.  But it may change…

Monday, May 2, 2011

Osama Bin Laden killed...

Almost 10 years after the destruction of the World Trade Center and the attack on Pentagon, on May 1, 2011, Osama Bin Laden, the founder and the leader of AlQaeda was killed in the US Special Forces action, 35 miles out of Islamabad, Pakistan. It seems, that America is not going to sleep tonight.  All the US Cable channels show nothing, but the celebrating crowds.  Suddenly both Democrats and Republicans got unified and express their "joy" - however inappropriately this word may sound in such a moment associated with death.
One may only compare it to the images from Misrata or Benghazi when the Libyan Opposition celebrated the death of one of the Gaddafi's sons in a Nato air strike yesterday.

The death of "Number ONE" on the US Most Wanted list is a moment of a profound symbolic significance.  It was a man who for 20 last years devoted himself to the destruction of the America and the Western way of life.  He has failed.

AlQaeda is not yet defeated.  Far from it.  Quite possibly Bin Laden's death may not mean a lot in an actual fight with AlQaeda.  There is a long fight ahead of us.  But at least, the man who has been defying us and our efforts, who through the incendiary rhetoric was creating the ranks of new suicide bombers and AlQaeda fighters - is no more.

Friday, April 29, 2011

Egypt, Israel and Palestine - volatile mixture...

The Arab Spring, or as some call it the Arab Awakening (although this term is too condescending) is in it's 5th month.  Inflaming more and more Middle East countries - this remarkable social movement doesn't leave any "stone unturned"...  None of the regional regimes is immune to this "freedom bug".  Some Dictators fall almost too fast for the international community to react, others - especially those who collaborated with Russia for extended amount of time and never grew out of it, like Libya and Syria, put up a fight.  Although I haven't written so far anything about Bahrain, Syria, Algeria, or Morocco, this article is dedicated to one of the longest struggles in the region - struggle of the Palestinian people. It's a struggle for their identity, place to live, and what all the people deserve in the same degree - Peace.  I haven't written about this topic, because... I was afraid to touch this Pandora's Box. 
April 27th, 2011 brought the events which single-handedly changed the equation, and spawned a completely new reality.

Two days ago the media announced that after days of the unofficial talks in Cairo, the representatives of HAMAS and FATAH came to a historic, conciliatory agreement, to create an Unity Interim Government, and organize the popular elections a year from now in both West Bank as well as Gaza Strip.

Right after I posted on Twitter a message referring to this remarkable event I received a response including a link to a short video: "Prager University: The Middle East Problem" (www.youtube.com/watch?v=63hTOaRu7h4).  The video, which consists just of a concise statement by Dennis Prager, is on of the most agitating, inflammatory, 'rewriting history', and one-sidedly wrong, messages on that subject, which are available on the Internet.  It spews venom and under a false scholarly pretense it denies the voice of reason. 
After receiving this message, I had no other options, but to address this subject myself.  I am not usurping myself a right to know the only truth.  I am advocating asking questions and being open to any answers.  We can not replace the Reason with Demagogy.

Unfortunately the "global village" which is the home to all of us, has an abundance of the "village idiots" who disregarding the proofs and common sense, and will deny things which are inconvenient to their agenda, like the President's US citizenship (D.Trump and other birthers), or the right of Palestinian people to have their own place to live, free and sovereign, located where they always lived (D. Prager and others sharing his views).
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The historic agreement between Hamas and Fatah was announced two days ago.  The World's reaction was immediate.  I do not deny that in a tinder box, like Middle East, a unification of the Palestinian authorities is an event to be watched very carefully.  The reaction of the US Government was cautious, but hopeful.  President Obama praised the political agreement but underlined the existing, axiomatic requirements, like the acceptance of the existing peace treaties, and acknowledgment of the right of the state of Israel to exist. 
In the meantime the Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu squarely rejected the unification efforts giving the Palestinians the exclusive choice: either the peace with Israel OR the peace with Hamas.  It's his first reaction to the new situation, but Netanyahu's negative remarks do not help the peace process.

The historic agreement between Hamas and Fatah was announced two days ago.  It ended dated since 2006, harmful for the Palestinian cause, split between factions.  Yes, this division was 'safer' for the US-Israeli interests, but it was an artificially maintained state of affairs.  Since the death of Yasser Arafat in Ramallah 2004, there was no equally charismatic, and equally revered leader.  The President Mahmoud Abbas, who was raising to the Position of the Premier, falling into oblivion, raising again as a President..., has been generally accused to be week and wavering.  He has been governing the West Bank (with the Fatah), but the Gaza Strip was led by Hamas (meaning "Islamic Resistance Movement") who in 2007 won the majority of seats in the Palestinian Parliament.  Since the Hamas has been associated (and/or involved) with the armed militia and the attacks (both racket and suicide bombers) on the population of Israel - The European Union, the United States,  Canada,  Israel and Japan classified Hamas as a terrorist organization - while nations such as China, Russia, Syria, Turkey, Norway and Switzerland did not.
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It's already the second decade of the twenty first century.  It's 2011-th year of our Era, according to the calendar associated with the Christian religion.  According to the Chinese calendar it's already 4709-th year.  Jews have already celebrated the 5771-st year.  Arab calendar, however shows that this is only 1432-nd year of their timeline.  Does it mean that all the people for whom now is the year 1432 of their calendar, didn't exist before, or came to the planet Earth from the outside at the beginning of their calendar?  Or does it mean that the people with the highest year number in their calendar have always been in the territories in question.   I guess, both of these statements are equally preposterous - an insult to the Reason.  So, maybe all of them came to the territories of Palestine from some other place on Earth...  Oh, well, some really did come from the places, located a bit more to the East, as others, (especially in recent years) came from all over the world (a huge number from the East European countries). 
The majority of the current Palestinians are the descendants of the Canaanites living on the territories of modern day Palestine, more than 5 thousand years ago.  In the 14th century BC came the Hebrews, a group of Semitic tribes from Mesopotamia, and the Philistines (after whom the country was later named).  Even current name of Palestine in Arabic is spelled "Filastin" (فلسطي).

The conflict between Palestinians (backed morally by all the Arab states) and Israel (backed, not only morally, by the countries of the West) is probably THE BEST KNOWN CONFLICT in the World's history.  Since it started, the new generations have been born.  No matter what is the political leaning of any particular country, this conflict has been mentioned and discussed in the history courses in all the world's schools.  And yet, at the same time, it is probably THE MOST MISUNDERSTOOD, AND THE MOST MISINTERPRETED CONFLICT  in the world.  One can easily find on the Internet and in the libraries, referring to it list of facts and it's time-line.  I am not going to try to recreate this time-line in detail in this article.  Anyone can do it on his/her own.  I will cite only some historical 'milestones' to create a background for the argument.
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The feud started in 1947 when the British decided to leave the Palestinian mandate and allowed to split the Palestine, creating Jewish state (Israel) along the Arab state with with Jerusalem as an international zone under UN jurisdiction.  I am in no position to try to assign blame for the igniting of the conflict that followed. The fact is that in 1948 the first Arab-Israeli war was launched. When it ended the new country of Israel was established, and approved by the UN.  Scattered all over the World Jews at last had a place they could call HOME.  As a result of the war, the small Gaza Strip was left under Egyptian control, and the West Bank was controlled by Jordan.  Of more than 800,000 Arabs who lived in Israeli-held territory before 1948, only about 170,000 remained. The rest became refugees in the neighboring Arab countries, ending the Arab majority in the Jewish state.
Throughout the years, the animosities between the surrounding Arab states and Israel resulted in a chain of skirmishes exploding in fully fledged wars in 1967, and in 1973.  In 1974 The Arab Summit in Rabat recognized the PLO (established in 1965 and used in guerrilla war in 1967) as the sole legitimate representative of the Palestinian people with Yasser Arafat as it's head.  In all the Arab Israeli conflicts the Palestinian issue was always a serious bargaining chip.  After the peace treaty between Egypt and Israel in 1979 the PLO existence in Lebanon resulted in 1982 Israeli invasion of Lebanon.   When PLO withdrew from Beyrut, the Israeli occupying forces stayed in the Southern Lebanon for years.  Starting in 1987 INTIFADAS (a series of uprisings of the Palestinians against occupying forces), and the Israeli's military response, put tremendous toll on the civilian population, and on the infrastructure of all Palestinian territories.
In 1991, the first comprehensive peace talks started, between Israel and delegations representing the Palestinians and neighboring Arab states.  In 1994, after having signed the final version of the Declaration of Principles, Yasser Arafat along with his Israeli counterparts (Shimon Peres, and Yitzhak Rabin) received the Nobel Peace Price for their role in Peace process.  In the following years a chain of bomb attacks caused fear in the Israeli population.  Every explosion was followed by the army's, heavy handed response.  In 1996 Prime Minister Netanyahu introduced his peace plan.  At the same moment the plans for expanding the new settlements in the Arab East Jerusalem were unveiled.  The signed in 1998 "peace-for-land" agreement gave Palestinians back parts of the West Bank making them responsible for enhancing the effectiveness of their anti-terrorism program.  Shortly afterwards, on 03.29.2001 started Operation Defensive Shield, Israel's largest military operation in the West Bank since the 1967 Six-Day War with the goals stated as: "enter cities and villages which have become havens for terrorists; to catch and arrest terrorists and, primarily, their dispatchers and those who finance and support them; to confiscate weapons intended to be used against Israeli citizens; to expose and destroy terrorist facilities and explosives, laboratories, weapons production factories and secret installations. The orders are clear: target and paralyze anyone who takes up weapons and tries to oppose our troops, resists them or endanger them - and to avoid harming the civilian population."  Palestinians participating in the resulting from it skirmishes were imprisoned, or exiled (to Cyprus).

The destruction of the World Trade Center on September 11, 2001, and resulting from it Islamo-Phobia in the countries of the West, followed by the Afghan War (10.2001), "added oil to the fire" and by the deepening the sentiments on both sides, the conflict escalated.  In June 2002 the construction of the West Bank Wall has been initiated.  It was argued that the Wall impeded the abilities of Palestinians to move freely as well crossing a border to work in Israel, thus creating an unnecessary hardship for the population.  On March 13.2002 - U.N. passed the  Resolution 1397 by the Security Council, demanding an "immediate cessation of all acts of violence" and "affirming a vision of a region where two states, Israel and Palestine, live side by side within secure and recognized borders".

On March 20, 2003,  based on the false pretenses, the Iraq War was initiated, galvanizing the Arab societies and forcing them even farther in disapproval of the West and all the associated with it policies. 

On Feb 24, 2004, The International Court of Justice begins hearings on the legality of the Israeli security barrier, Israel and Palestinians use the hearings as a platform for demonstrations about terror and the occupation.  In July of the same year The Court concludes that the Security Barrier violates the international law and it had to be dismantled - however, never implemented.  In November of 2004 the PLO Leader, Yasser Arafat died during the siege of Ramallah Headquarters, in a very unclear circumstances...  In the years following his death the escalated violence included hundreds of missiles fired into the Israeli territories. 
After a series of violent clashes initiated by the Jewish settlers, In July 2005,  Israel closed Gaza Strip to Israeli citizens other than residents.  In August of that year the evacuation of Gaza settlements and four West Bank settlements was completed.  In November 2006, after months of bombardments with Hamas  missiles sent to Israel and Israeli targeted killings of the Hamas leaders, Israeli-Palestinian truce applying to the Gaza Strip was announced.  The violence continued from both sides.  After months of suicide attacks (Hamas) and helicopter gunship destroying the Palestinian cities, in July 2008 the Israeli-Hamas truce was proclaimed.  At the same time the split between Fatah and Hamas intensified causing arrests of Hamas activists by the Fatah.
In December 2008 Israel launched Operation Oferet Yetzuka (Cast Lead) using air strikes and rocket attacks to destroy suspected Hamas infrastructure - rocket launching sites, factories, command centers.  After causing 1300 Palestinian deaths and losing 13 own, the Operation was discontinued.
On June 1, 2009, the  UN Human Rights Council investigative panel led by Judge Richard Goldstone entered the Gaza strip to investigate alleged Israeli war crimes, leaving June 4. Israel refused to cooperate. 
On June 04, 2009, the World heard President Obama's speech in Cairo University trying to build a bridge between the West and the Arab countries, also calling for the freeze of the settlement program, and the Arab recognition of Israel.
The Gaza Strip has been isolated by Israel since 2007.  The blockade was extended on both the land as well as nautical borders.  Only the humanitarian goods were allowed in, while all building materials, stone, machines and the spare parts were completely banned.  Egypt played a vital role in the Gaza blockade, operating (effectively closing), Gaza-Egypt border crossing.  The Blockade was greatly condemned by the people of many countries including the countries of the West and some progressive activists in Israel itself.  In May 2010 a flotilla of 7 ships with the humanitarian aid for the Gaza strip left Turkey to deliver the goods - against the strict blockade imposed by the Israelis.  On May 31, 2010, their Flagship Mavi Mamara was stopped by the Israeli commandos boarding the ship from the helicopter under the cover of night.  The ship's crew and activists' resistance resulted in 9 people killed by the Israeli forces.  In July, the "Turkel" commission formed to investigate the incident didn't find any procedural failures. 
In September 2010, the direct Israeli-Palestinian talks opened in Washington with the "blessing" of President Mubarak of Egypt and King Abdullah of Jordan. 

When the Arab Spring started in December 2010, ending the 30 years long rules of President Mubarak, in the February 2010, the balance of powers in the region has changed completely.  It hasn't left the Israeli-Palestinian relationship without it's impact. 

A few days ago, Turkey announced that another flotilla of the humanitarian aid, decisively bigger than the former one, would be breaching the Gaza Blockade soon.  Prompted by the Tell Aviv government for the action to stop it, Turkey denied any direct influence over the flotilla plans.  The ground for another confrontation with the Israeli Security Forces has been set already.  But is the Blockade effective any longer? (beside the question of it's legal, and humane violations).

The New Egypt is not playing any more the Guard of the Western Gaza border.  They have just announced plans to permanently open the border crossing to Gaza Strip allowing the unrestrained traffic between Egypt and Gaza..., deeming the Blockade useless.
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The whole history of that conflict is packed with facts, blending together in a hard to distinguish from each other - calamity.  Both sides stubbornly use violence against one another.  The Hamas militants keep firing the short range missiles, mortars, into the bordering cities and settlements on the Israeli side.  Israel has a pretty advanced warning system in place, so after the initial strike all the inhabitants take shelter in the reinforced bunkers.  They live in fear.  Along both, West Bank and Gaza strip borders the Israelis do not have a normal life - they have to "sleep a rabbit sleep"  - with the eyes open.  And - sometimes they die.  More dangerous for them are bombings in their cities.  Yes, the statistical risk of any particular citizen is not huge, but the result is living in fear.  Although the Palestinian extremists (I insist on calling the instigators of the violence - extremists,  as oppose to peaceful Palestinians), do not have a sophisticated technology themselves, nor the sufficient amount of funds to purchase the more sophisticated weapons, their crude devices still can, and do kill the opponents. 
The statistics do not lie, but do not tell the whole truth. 
In retaliation for the attacks and for the danger they have to live in, the Israeli forces, not being able to tell a foe from a friend, deliver blows to the Palestinian Population in total.  They conduct the "surgical", targeted strikes in which one or another Hamas leader is killed (being blown apart by multiple rockets launched from the helicopter gunships).  Quite often (especially in the previous years) after a brief warning to the inhabitants, to vacate the area, the whole area suspected of being related to Hamas activities would be completely destroyed.  Often in such situations the inhabitants of soon-to-be destroyed quarters refused to vacate the area. 
When suspected tunnels between Egypt and Gaza were bombed, the "collateral damage" was unspeakable.  Gaza strip is deliberately prevented from development.  The policy, which has the name already, is called devolution.  I understand the premise of such an action - but try to explain it to a family in one of the cities in Gaza, who's adults, having college degrees can't find any job.  Try to explain it to people whose children do not know what the 'hot water faucet'  is, since they are lucky if they have the running water at all.  Try to explain it to the people who, during the winter do not fix their shattered windows, since another explosion near by would shatter them again, and again...

The extremist element among Palestinians is responsible for creating situation in which the Israelis have no choice but to retaliate.  This is understood...  But what the World can't understand, is a greatly disproportional response which is delivered every time and again, to the population of Palestinians.  It is delivered indiscriminately.  With every Hamas leader targeted and killed by a gunship strike, several bystanders perish. 
I can't help but remember (not directly, but reading about it) the situation in Warsaw in 1942-44, when the resistance blew a bomb in a movie theater killing a few Nazis along with a few Poles who were in a wrong place at the wrong time.  Every time, the following day a 100 or more, randomly caught on the street, not-involved people, were rounded, picked by the Nazis, and executed, very often on the spot - or transferred to the Nazi concentration camps, for a "slower" extermination...
One would think, that this argument should be rather "close to skin" for the decision-makers in Israel, and yet the disproportional revenge in a Palestinian-Israeli conflict is an every day reality. 

Nothing is the same as once was... For centuries there was no country for the Jews.  It was a subject of writing, it was a subject of prayers... In 1948 it became a reality.  It is, right now one of the undeniable axioms.  It's time to start thinking the same way about the Palestinian state.

Four years ago, while celebrating with my wife, one of my "round number birthdays" in a enchanting oasis of Siwa (Egypt, near Libyan border), where we took a short brake after while working on an archaeological preservation project, I met one of the prominent Israeli archaeologist on vacation.  We talked about the situation in Egypt, and a wider context.  We talked about the Palestinians in Gaza.  He praised their education, common sense, good working attitude.  He praised their ingenuity... and he couldn't understand why they had to endure such hardships...
---------------

One of the axioms of the history is that, at any given point the "things" are NOT the same, as they used to be.  It's one of the everlasting truths. 
At one point Yasser Arafat was a head of a terrorist organization.  He was undeniably responsible for many unthinkable acts of terror.   And then, he evolved (to serve better his own people), abandoned violence, and received a Noble Peace Price for trying better...

As mentioned before, Hamas is considered by many countries a terrorist organization, by some others, not).  Maybe they also can denounce violence, if it would serve their people better.  I am sure they would... if they could rely on the other side to abandon their expansion agenda as well.  It's only a speculation on my part...

There is a growing community of people in the world, for whom the end of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is more and more important.  This open-minded community consists of the members of all faiths, all denomination, all political leanings...   This community includes quite a number of Israeli, American and European Jews as well.  I am not talking only about radicals like an American scholar, Norman Finkelstein (whom I admire tremendously, sometimes not agreeing with his points), but a moderate, democratic minds, like those who run MondeWeiss.net, among others.

Recently (April 15) one of the Italian pro-Palestinian activists, Vittorio Arrigoni was kidnapped and subsequently murdered in Gaza.

Maybe I am naive, but I convinced that the Peace Process in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is an achievable goal, once we realize the lesson transpiring from the Arab Spring 2011:
NOTHING IS, AS IT USED TO BE.

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

Democracy in Egypt - are we there yet?...

The short answer is: NO, not yet.
It's been over 10 weeks since the 30-years-long, brutal Dictatorship ended in Egypt, with deposing of the President Mubarak.  We were watching with awe, the unprecedented and unexpected events of the Revolution, which overturned in a swift and a decisive way the decades long regime, along with the decades long fear of Radicalism, which could have creeped in, burying the hopes for the democracy.
On February 11, 2001 Egypt concluded their Revolutionary fight against the regime.  The regime has toppled.  At that moment Egypt entered much more difficult phase, a clearly gargantuan task - to forge the democracy from scratch - creating the New State according to the Democratic principles, responding to a long time suppressed thirst for the political and civil freedoms of the Egyptians...

The Army, who forced the Dictator out, took charge of the country and it's affairs, both military and civilian.  Although it was the only solution which could have brought the stability to the country, it raised more questions than it answered.  It was a move in the right direction, provided that the Army would honor their promises to lead the country toward the civilian, democratic government.  Since the institution of Army as such is not a very convincing guarantor of the democratic process - it's no surprise that the Tahrir Square became a weekly, Friday-after-prayer place of demonstrations, reminding the Army of it's role in the long process ahead, week after week.
Although the Mubarak's Egypt has been dismantled almost completely, one of it's, hated by all, elements is still in place - state of emergency, which was imposed after the assassination of the President Sadat.  It's promised to be removed after the parliamentary elections in September, but for now it allows the army to control the society the way it chooses - some say, it's the same, excessive way, well known from the Mubarak era.
The curfew, imposed on January 28, which has been slowly eased, would be reduced just to 3 hours (from 2 to 5 in the morning).

The protesting crowd is still just partially satisfied by the progress of the reforms in their New Egypt.  It's understandable that to the people involved, who's patience has been tested numerous times, sense of time is different, than to everybody else - they would like to have the fully functioning Democratic State in place by now.  So, let's have a look at the timeline of all the Post-Mubarak road to Democracy:

Right after achieving the main goal of the protest - deposing the Dictator, the citizens themselves started to clean Tahrir Square from the reminders of sometimes violent events of the past 18 days.  Self appointed clean up crews, shouting slogans referring to the New Beginning worked tirelessly removing the destroyed tents, debris and cleaning the stains from the pavement.  Some participants voiced to the press their new (for them and the spectators), feeling of ownership of the country.
On Feb 13, 2011 - two days after taking power in their hands, Egypt's military authorities dissolved the 518-seat country's parliament and suspended the outdated and twisted by the former regime, Constitution.
On Feb 14, 2011 hundreds of the Police officers and plainclothes demonstrated in Tahrir Sq. demanding the better pay and work conditions.  In the Mubarak Era the officers were underpaid severely,  creating the conditions in which the bribery and extortion became the only means for survival.  It was so embedded in the fabric of everyday life, that it became customary to approach a Policeman on the streets and offer a payoff, every time one saw a policemen on the beat.
On Feb 16, 2011 the Egyptian Stock Exchange restarted (not without the hiccup, since it had to be stopped for a few ours immediately afterwards to avoid the unintended losses).
During the unrests the Egyptian Museum was attacked by the thieves who stole a few objects and destroyed almost a hundred of others.  Apparently, the thieves weren't well informed and were partially satisfied by stealing some replicas of the artifacts displayed in the Museum store.  In the period when Mubarak government withdrew the Tourist Police and Police forces in general from the streets, many archaeological sites in Egypt were either completely unprotected or protected by self-appointed forces organized by the devoted functionaries of the Antiquities Department.   However, their heroic efforts were not sufficient to prevent the unrepairable damages in the places like Saqqarah.  The head of the Supreme Council of Antiquities, who became a face of Egyptian Archaeology for the whole World, Zahi Hawass, who was also raised to the position of the Minister of Antiquities by the Pres. Mubarak shortly before the end of his regime - resigned his post in the protest to the damages done to the cultural heritage. 

Every Friday brought countless crowds to Tahrir Sq.  either protesting against an actual mishandling of the country's affairs by the Interim Government (= ARMY), or just reminding the Army of their promises given to the demonstrators. 
One of the things stirring the public opinion very deeply was the ban on the demonstrations imposed by the Army on all protests which MIGHT disturb the recovering economy of the country.  Another - which has proven to be much more serious, was the persecution of the dissenters, and all who didn't agree with the Army's actions.  It resembled the treatment the dissent received during 30 years of the Mubarak Regime. 
On March 03, 2011, an activist, Amr Abdallah Elbihiry, 33, was convicted and sentenced to five years in military prison by Egypt's Supreme Military Court, after being charged with assaulting a public official on duty and for breaking curfew.  He was arrested while peacefully demonstrating for the Prime Minister Shafiq to step down.  He wasn't the isolated case of the abuse.
On March 07, 2011, the new Prime Minister was sworn in, along with the completely new Cabinet.  The key ministries received the new heads.  Some old, and sometimes despised by the 'street', faces still lingered in less important sectors.
Two days later on March 09, 2011, military forces removed the camping crowd from Tahrir Square and arrested more than 100 protesters, following up on the imposed ban of demonstrations.  In the process, they also seized the photos, and video recordings from the journalists on the square.  This action sparked the International protest and condemnation.  It shed the very questionable light on the conduct of the Supreme Army Command, as well as the army's participation in the forging of the democracy in Egypt, especially in anticipation of coming on the March 19 Constitutional Referendum.

The State Security Investigations Service has had a reputation to be a very efficient, repressive tool in the Mubarak's apparatus.  It was accused repeatedly of torture, kidnapping, and other human rights abuses serving the suppression of the dissent against the Regime.  It was probably the most hated institution in the whole country.  On March 15, 2011 the New Interior Minister, Maj. Gen. Mansour el-Essawy, a former Cairo security chief, dissolved that agency and announced the creation of the new National Security Force to replace it, with the reduced and redirected scope of responsibilities: just combating the terrorism.  Dismantling the State Security Investigations Service was one of the major demands of the  Revolution.  The headquarters of the agency as well as regional offices in Alexandria and other cities ware a target of the demonstrations and attacks during the whole uprising.  Several times the protesters stormed it's offices in order to seize the documents which might have provided the proofs of the abuse.  Unfortunately, the officers of that agency succeeded in many cases destroying these documents before finally, the Army took the matter in their own hands and seized the documents themselves. 
"We want to see public trials for those accused of torturing or abusing Egyptians..." - said Islam Lotfi, a leading youth activist.  "As much as we are happy that State Security is now dissolved, National Security, the new entity, must be under real judicial supervision," tweeted Wael Ghonim, the Google executive, and a leader of the movement.

Although most of the protesters would prefer replacing the Constitution, modified several times by the Regime in the Past, with the completely new one, creation of the Committee to instigate the changes in the existing document to allow the Democratic development of the new country, was a fact welcome by all.  The proposed, constitutional changes removed the monopoly of the National Democratic Party (ruling Mubarak's Party), removed restrictions against creating a religion based political parties, introduced a term limit for the publicly elected officials, etc. 
On March 20, 2011, in all the civic centers in Egypt the unprecedented event had place - the Constitutional Referendum.  It was the first in the modern history of Egypt, democratic VOTING EXERCISE.  Although the voter turn-out wasn't as big as in previous, fixed elections, a mare 41% of the eligible voters, the exercise proved to be an overwhelming success.  According to the Referendum Chairman, Mohammed Attiya Egyptians voted 3-to-1 for the implementation of the amendments.

We all remember about the specter of radicalization hanging over the future Democratic Egypt.  One of the strongest, and best organized, political forces in Egypt - Muslim Brotherhood benefited greatly from the changes passed by the Referendum.  However, their desire to introduce Islamic law, and their ambivalence about the role of women in the society are responsible for their relatively little popularity within the society.  Muslim Brotherhood in our times is comprised of educated people, professionals, like engineers, lawyers and doctors.  Their creed has changed since the time of the Sadat assassination and their factional split, followed by renouncing of violence.  But there is an element in the Egyptian society which is far more unpredictable and dangerous - “Salafi” Islamists, growing in popularity among the poorest and the most confused part of the nation. 

If we (the Western Countries) advocate the democratic processes in Egypt and all the participants of the Arab Spring 2011, we must accept the situation in which the part of the society might not like us...  Well, in the previous era, when all the regimes of the Middle East were our allies - no one in the allied countries had any good feelings toward the West.  What the Arab Spring brought, is the dramatic change in the attitude of the Egyptians (and not only) toward America.  It has been dramatically shifted by our backing up the pro-democracy movements.
Egypt's Interim Government plans to use the amended Constitution as a road map toward the power transfer to a new, elected, civilian government.  The Army agreed not to place it's candidate in the upcoming presidential elections.  However, this fact alone doesn't convince the "street" about the Army's good intentions.

As mentioned previously, the Army, having as progressive intentions as it claims, can not escape from the relics of the past.  It's extremely sensitive to the critical statements coming from the various social activists, and bloggers.  On March 28, 2011, an Egyptian blogger, Maikel Nabil, was arrested and on April 10, sentenced to 3 years in prison for the charge of "insulting the army".  Although it is a clear attempt to muzzle the voice of dissent violating multiple human rights, the case of Maikel Nabil is not that straight-forward.  He is a self-declared "pro-Israel activist", whose naive believes in the triumph of democracy transferred to Egypt from Israel, resulted in other bloggers asking if the army put him in a wrong "institution"...
Newscaster Shahira Amin, quit her job in the government run Nile TV, before the fall of Mubarak, in the protest against her being forced by the officials to twist the reality and report only "state approved" news.  Ten weeks along the road to democracy - she is still very critical of the army's control over the media.  The State TV building in Cairo which is home to about 10 TV and radio stations is now a fortress guarded by tanks and cordons of soldiers.  Who controls the media, controls the reality...

On April 13, 2011, one of the most important demands of the protesters has been addressed - President Hosni Mubarak and his two sons, Gamal and Alaa have been imprisoned and subjected to the thorough investigation in order to determine their participation in the corruption of the regime, as well as to determine their responsibility for the lives lost during the uprising.  Imprisonment of the President and his family was a crown of the long chain of investigations conducted agains most of the officials of the fallen Regime.  Allegations in all the cases include corruption and responsibility for human rights abuse during the 30 years of the Mubarak's Dictatorship.
As reported by Egypt's state news agency MENA, the number of deaths during the Revolution amounted to 864 people, and the amount of injuries rose to 6467 (including 26 Policemen killed).
It must have been difficult for the Military to stand against it's former Boss and prosecute him to the full extend of the law.  But given the public persistence in insisting on the delivery of justice as well as growing public weariness about the army's real intentions, the Army was in no position to spare him even if they wanted to.  At this point there is no more a possibility to satisfy the crowds with any sort of fake trials, and a "slap on the wrist"  treatment of the Dictator.  Excluding also the blood thirsty vendetta - the justice has to be served.  Egyptian people demand the real, thorough investigation, and the real, just trial, delivering the real, just sentence and the punishment.

Egypt is the biggest Arab country in the world.  It has been for decades in the center of attention of the whole region.  Egypt is the leader of the Middle East and what happens to it's structure and political fabric is looked upon by all, as a guidance in going through the revolutionary, social and economical changes of the Arab Spring 2011.

On April 16, 2011, The High Administrative Court of Egypt dissolved the National Democratic Party (NDP), former ruling party, and ordered the seizure of its assets, thus meeting another of the key demands of the revolt that led to the downfall of President Hosni Mubarak.  The NDP was formed by the Mubarak's predecessor, President Sadat, and was led by Mubarak after the Sadat's assassination.  For 40 years the NDP was the only allowed political party in Egypt.  Dissolving it, along with the prosecution of it's Leader, and seizing it's assets mark the end of the era, which for most of the Egyptian society has been the only geopolitical system they knew in their lives.

The Mubarak's Era has ended. 
On April 21, 2011, an Egyptian Court decreed that the names of the deposed President Hosni Mubarak and his wife Suzanne to be removed from all public places, along with the removal of all apparitions of the Dictator...
It's not a first time in the long, Egyptian history, that the name of the former ruler was meticulously removed from the reliefs, previously dedicated to him/her... (it seems that Mubarak thought of himself as a Pharaoh).

Revising the answer to the title question: SOON.